I am an Economist working at the intersection of political economy, economic history, and institutional design. My research uses causal inference and natural language processing to study corruption, accountability, and the political consequences of information.

I received my PhD in Economics from the Stockholm School of Economics and have been based at Central European University (currently in Vienna) since 2017. I have used data from Brazil, Hungary, Italy, Albania, Germany, Turkey, and Austria.

PhD Stockholm School of Economics
Visiting CEMFI, Madrid
↓ Curriculum Vitae
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Published · AEJ: Economic Policy, 2024
with Clarissa Lotti (LEAR), Giancarlo Spagnolo (Stockholm University), Tommaso Valletti (Imperial College)
Organizational Economics Public Procurement Italy
Centralization of public procurement can lower prices for the government's direct purchase of goods and services. This paper focuses on indirect savings. Public administrations that do not procure directly through a central procurement agency might benefit from the availability of centrally procured goods. We exploit the introduction of a central purchasing agency in Italy and find that prices came down by 22% among administrations that bought autonomously. These indirect effects appear to be driven by informational externalities, especially for less competent public buyers purchasing technologically more complex goods. Accounting for indirect savings increases the estimate of direct ones.
Published · Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2025
Political Economy Corruption Media NLP Brazil
I examine the extent to which news of a local politician's corruption leads to electoral spillovers to the political party in neighboring jurisdictions and presidential candidates. Using random audits in Brazilian local governments along with novel data on antenna location and coverage, I identify relevant neighboring jurisdictions. The findings reveal that electoral spillovers extend beyond the area of origin, affecting neighboring local politicians and presidential candidates. Furthermore, by analyzing a decade's worth of national newspaper articles, I show that local corruption gets national media attention, particularly in cases of high corruption. The sentiment of news coverage during national elections is more likely to be negative for parties with national candidates, highlighting the significant role national media plays in amplifying local events and shaping the sentiment.
Working Paper
Corruption NLP Brazil
Using Brazilian municipal audit reports, I construct an automated corruption index that combines a dictionary of audit irregularities with principal component analysis. The index validates strongly against independent human coders, explaining 71–73% of the variation in hand-coded corruption counts in samples where coders themselves exhibit high agreement, and the results are robust within these validation samples. The index behaves as theory predicts, correlating with municipal characteristics that prior research links to corruption. Supervised learning alternatives yield nearly identical municipal rankings (R²=0.98), confirming that the dictionary approach captures the same underlying construct. The method scales to the full audit corpus and offers advantages over both manual coding and Large Language Models (LLMs) in transparency, cost, and long-run replicability.
Working Paper
The Xerox Effect: Communication Technologies and Political Action in Autocracy
with Marton Fleck (Central European University)
Economic History Political Economy Democratization & Autocracy Hungary
We investigate the role of new communication technologies in the fall of autocratic regimes. For this, we use a unique setting: the distribution of photocopy machines, the Xerox program, in communist Hungary. The photocopy machines were seen as a transformative technology, similar to the impact of the Gutenberg press. We use newly digitalized data on machine allocation between 1985 and 1989 and show that areas with machines are more likely to support democratic values, participate in elections, and establish more entrepreneurial activity in the short and long run. Moreover, we show that adjacent areas are also affected. Our results suggest that new communication technologies help overthrow autocracies by promoting democratic values even when political competition is limited and traditional media is censored.
In Progress
Corruption, Intimidation, and Whistleblowing: Empirical Approach
with Sylvain Chassang (Princeton University)
Organizational Economics Law & Economics Corruption Incentives
In Progress
Barriers at the Door: Access to Legal Advice in Employment Disputes
Law & Economics Political Economy
In Progress
Unintended Consequences of Legislation
with Oliver Kiss (Central European University)
Law & Economics Corruption Political Economy
In Progress
Legal Threats and Online Dissent: Evidence from Social Media Regulation in Turkey
with Arvind Magesan (University of Calgary) and Juan S. Morales (Wilfrid Laurier University)
Political Economy Media & Information Democratization & Autocracy NLP
In Progress
Migration Waves and Political Tides: European Guest-Worker Routes and Electoral Outcomes
with Philipp Hilmbauer-Hofmarcher and Ricardo Pique
Political Economy Economic History
2024